There is so much in this that is going way, way, WAY over my head, to an extend that I can barely phrase what it is I don’t understand. I guess that’s why I don’t get to decide these things.
What is it that you don’t understand? You’re probably just put off by the “scary” Greek letters, if you force yourself to look at it, you’ll find it’s rather simple.
(ε) and (φ) are constants, and since their values are 4 and 0,25, when multiplied together they give 1. Multiply mi by 1 and you simply get mi
The Greek letters are not the issue. I can even understand the maths itself, despite sucking at it all my life (which is clear evidence that it’s dumb). It’s the entire affair, not the formulas.
White House publishes a table of steep percentage fees charged on imports from various countries that make little sense, claiming it’s based on a rigorous and complex system of economic calculations
Somebody notices the percentages for all these countries are just the trade deficit divided by imports, which is a formula as simple as it is arbitrary
White House lackey says “Nuh uh, we have a totally complex formula for this” and publishes an imposing equation full of Greek symbols and letters
Turns out the Greek symbols refer to arbitrary values set by the White House that cancel each other out, and the letters just represent… the trade deficit divided by imports.
tl;dr: They used a dead-simple, arbitrary formula for their economy-wrecking trade war and tried using fancy-looking math to cover it up
It’s not just math, but economic theory. There’s a lot of historical context here, going back to mercantalism in the 1600s, where countries were obsessed with trying to maximize exports. You may remember this from history class, and how they figured out it was, ultimately, not the best idea.
Anyway, ignore the greek letters. The Trump administration is using trade deficit (how much other countries buy from us vs. how much we buy from them) as the number for how how much to tax those imports, with the idea being to this tax will “punish” and incentivize countries to not have such a big trade deficit with the US. Per mercantalism, buying more than we sell from someone is a “loss,” as we are losing money to them. And US manufacturers will take up the slack.
…In practice, that’s not how it works, as Europe learned in the 1600s/1700s and the US learned in the great depression, among many other times. There are a lot of fallacies, including:
“the popular folly of confusing wealth with money,” aka assuming the trade deficit is unprofitable “loss.”
Overestimating the US’s importance. It’s a big world with a lot of easy shipping, and countries have many other places to ship stuff if the US gives them a big enough middle finger.
Ramping up manufacturing locally is hard, depending on the industry. Could take years and billions, and in some cases is not practical at all. That’s why we buy stuff from other countries, where it’s easier to make. It’s like the core tenant of free trade.
Other factors are not static. Slap a gigantic tarrif on something, and the supply/demand/pricing is not going to stay the same.
It’s also ignoring how being the world’s #1 consumer cemented the US’s power across the world, and arguable stabilized a lot of geopolitics (with some unsavory complications, though). This was largely the idea behind the post-WWII world order.
There is so much in this that is going way, way, WAY over my head, to an extend that I can barely phrase what it is I don’t understand. I guess that’s why I don’t get to decide these things.
What is it that you don’t understand? You’re probably just put off by the “scary” Greek letters, if you force yourself to look at it, you’ll find it’s rather simple.
(ε) and (φ) are constants, and since their values are 4 and 0,25, when multiplied together they give 1. Multiply mi by 1 and you simply get mi
The Greek letters are not the issue. I can even understand the maths itself, despite sucking at it all my life (which is clear evidence that it’s dumb). It’s the entire affair, not the formulas.
The emperor is naked
Trump was looking for any number to put ad the tarif number, without any regard z to reality, so that’s what we now see.
Congratulations, you are now qualified to be one of Trump’s Cabinet picks
White House publishes a table of steep percentage fees charged on imports from various countries that make little sense, claiming it’s based on a rigorous and complex system of economic calculations
Somebody notices the percentages for all these countries are just the trade deficit divided by imports, which is a formula as simple as it is arbitrary
White House lackey says “Nuh uh, we have a totally complex formula for this” and publishes an imposing equation full of Greek symbols and letters
Turns out the Greek symbols refer to arbitrary values set by the White House that cancel each other out, and the letters just represent… the trade deficit divided by imports.
tl;dr: They used a dead-simple, arbitrary formula for their economy-wrecking trade war and tried using fancy-looking math to cover it up
It’s not just math, but economic theory. There’s a lot of historical context here, going back to mercantalism in the 1600s, where countries were obsessed with trying to maximize exports. You may remember this from history class, and how they figured out it was, ultimately, not the best idea.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercantilism
Anyway, ignore the greek letters. The Trump administration is using trade deficit (how much other countries buy from us vs. how much we buy from them) as the number for how how much to tax those imports, with the idea being to this tax will “punish” and incentivize countries to not have such a big trade deficit with the US. Per mercantalism, buying more than we sell from someone is a “loss,” as we are losing money to them. And US manufacturers will take up the slack.
…In practice, that’s not how it works, as Europe learned in the 1600s/1700s and the US learned in the great depression, among many other times. There are a lot of fallacies, including:
“the popular folly of confusing wealth with money,” aka assuming the trade deficit is unprofitable “loss.”
Overestimating the US’s importance. It’s a big world with a lot of easy shipping, and countries have many other places to ship stuff if the US gives them a big enough middle finger.
Ramping up manufacturing locally is hard, depending on the industry. Could take years and billions, and in some cases is not practical at all. That’s why we buy stuff from other countries, where it’s easier to make. It’s like the core tenant of free trade.
Other factors are not static. Slap a gigantic tarrif on something, and the supply/demand/pricing is not going to stay the same.
It’s also ignoring how being the world’s #1 consumer cemented the US’s power across the world, and arguable stabilized a lot of geopolitics (with some unsavory complications, though). This was largely the idea behind the post-WWII world order.