From https://x.com/redstreamnet/status/1888528274231292013

Such graph is worth mentioning because David Noboa is campaigning on a promise to reduce crimes, e.g. by putting soldiers in the streets(, the “plan Phoenix”, inspired by N.Bukele in el Salvador, and relying on the israeli prison’s technology).
He cut off the social programs that were a part of the leftist policy against criminality, and of course he’s in favor of longer sentences and more repression as the only option against crimes, like most people from the right(, while the left fight both the causes and consequences, as R.Correa did, « violence is the refuge of incompetence »).

As usual, he also wants to cut taxes to attract foreign companies, etc.

However, unusually enough, the right all over the world now wants to put tariffs, in his case on Mexico’s importations.
That’s a noticeable change because neoliberals have fought tariffs for decades, and the w.t.o. did what it could to prevent the global South from putting them in place, so that’s interesting.

Surveys are unreliable as usual, she’s winning or losing depending on the pollster : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Ecuadorian_general_election#Candidates_2

Also, keep in mind that the second round is on the 13th of April, and that :

• In 2021, A.Arauz won 33% against 20% in the first round, yet lost 47% against 53% in the second round ;
• In the anticipated elections of 2023, L.Gonzáles won 33% against 23% in the first round, yet lost at 48% against 52% in the second round. So we’ll see tomorrow if she won the first round once again.